Jakarta Post -The year 2013 still saw Indonesia at the center of global attention, being hailed as the largest economy in Southeast Asia for successfully maneuvering out of global recession and maintaining both economic and political stability on a longer term. The archipelago was blessed with a booming middle class and increased domestic consumer spending in the short and medium term while managing to book all-time high investments ,which mostly came from direct foreign ventures, thus, making the nation’s status as the emerging power in the global economy seem difficult to match.
However, the last quarter in 2013 proved to be more challenging than expected and several hurdles were presented for Indonesia. Inflation climbed to 8.4 percent at the end of the year — nearly double the 4.3 percent in 2012 — interest rate hiked and gross domestic product (GDP) growth was estimated to have fallen from 6.2 percent to 5.6 percent, according to a Standard Chartered research.
In addition, Indonesia’s trade deficit jumped to US$2.3 billion for the July-September period as imports remained strong while exports shrank due to the slowdown in China and continuing troubles in Europe and the US, and finally, the weakening of rupiah against US dollars raised combined fears that the once stellar-performing Southeast Asian economy could be hitting a wall so soon.
According to the World Bank, Indonesia will see a slower economic growth in 2014 and faces tough economic risks. The risks to growth are high as the needed adjustments to weaker external balances continue to play out in the domestic economy, and as a result of shifting economic conditions and policies internationally (notably the US Federal Reserve “tapering”), which may further tighten external financing conditions. Indonesia is also expecting a considerably slower investment flow in 2014, as companies may hold off during the election year, providing even less stimulus to an economy challenged with current-account deficit. [Click here for full article…]



